Showing posts with label threshold. Show all posts
Showing posts with label threshold. Show all posts

Sunday, December 7, 2008

Risk Owners and Risk Thresholds

Author H. Stanley Judd once said, "A good plan is like a road map; it shows the final destination and usually the best way to get there."

As a project manager, you need to have an effective risk management plan in place before beginning risk response planning. A risk management plan can act as a guide to help you identify, analyze, and respond to various project risks and their potential consequences. This plan, which is created during the risk identification and planning process, details how the risk management processes will be structured and performed. It ensures that risks are properly managed throughout a project's life cycle.

The risk management plan has two important components that will be used in risk response planning: 1. a list of risk owners; and 2. risk thresholds.

A list of risk owners
One risk management plan component that will be used as an input to risk response planning is a list of risk owners. Risk owners include those project stakeholders who are responsible for the development, implementation, and execution of one or more risk responses. This risk management plan component is essential as a risk response planning input because it helps to ensure that everyone involved in the risk response planning process has clearly defined roles and responsibilities.

Typically, project managers are responsible for assigning the various risk owners within a project. These risk owners may be chosen from within the project team or from available subject matter experts. During risk response planning, risk owners may decide to develop risk responses as a group or divide the responses among the team members, based on their expertise.

Risk thresholds
Another component of the risk management plan that can act as an important input to risk response planning is risk thresholds. Risk thresholds are the levels of risk that are acceptable to individual project stakeholders, such as the project team members, customers or sponsors.

It is important to remember that project owners, customers, and sponsors may all have different risk thresholds for a given project, depending on their individual needs and interests.

The acceptable risk threshold for each project stakeholder forms the target against which the project team will measure the effectiveness of the risk response plan execution.

Liam, from Northern Pulp & Paper, is studying his company's established risk threshold for his current project. He wants to know how the risk threshold will influence his risk response planning process. Liam finds that the company will not tolerate a total project cost overrun of more than $5,000. He realizes that such things as purchasing additional materials or increasing staff may not be viable risk response options when handling identified project risks. Liam will keep this in mind as he progresses through the risk response planning process.

Equipped with a clear and accurate understanding of these two components, you will be able to ensure that potential project risks are dealt with effectively and in a timely manner.

Tuesday, February 12, 2008

The Components of a Risk Management Plan

Imagine trying to build a house without a house plan. Do you think the process would go smoothly? Would you be happy with the results? Do you think it would take less time than if you had planned it out first?

The answer to all of these questions is likely no. The same is true when it comes to managing risk which is why it is important to put a risk management plan in place to guide your project decisions.

A risk management plan indicates how risk identification, analysis, planning, monitoring, and control will be handled throughout the project's life cycle. The components of a risk management plan are:
  • methodology
  • scoring and interpretation
  • thresholds
  • budgeting
  • timing
  • tracking
  • roles and responsibilities
  • reporting formats
In order to begin the risk management plan there must be an analysis stage that looks at methodology, scoring and interpretation, and thresholds.
Methodology refers to the approaches, tools, and data sources that may be used to carry out risk management. The methodology chosen will depend on the project stage and the amount of information available.

Scoring and interpretation refers to the numerical ranking of risks. The method of scoring and interpretation must be determined in advance, used in a consistent manner, and measured using tools such as a risk rating matrix or probability analysis.

Thresholds describe the who, what, and how criteria for risks that will be acted on. Project team members may have different risk thresholds. An acceptable target threshold must be determined to gauge the effectiveness of the risk response.

Deacon Oil Explorations, Limited (DOEL) is one of the leading oil exploration companies in the country. The project that DOEL is about to embark on is of great importance and is predicted to move DOEL to the top of its field. DOEL has just finished the analysis stage for this project's risk management plan.
  • methodology - In a brainstorming meeting, DOEL used open-ended questions to ask its staff what risks they thought would be concerns for the upcoming project.
  • scoring and interpretation - DOEL's risk management team has decided to use a risk rating matrix to score risks. It will use a scale from 0.0 to 1.0, rating 0.0 to 0.3 as low risk, 0.4 to 0.7 as medium risk, and 0.8 to 1.0 as high risk. Having this planned in advance will ensure risks are scored and interpreted consistently.
  • thresholds - DOEL's risk management team has decided that it cannot act on all identified risks. The team decided that risks scored at 0.7 or above will be acted on, while risks scored at 0.6 or below will not. Therefore, the acceptable threshold is 0.7.
After the analysis stage of the risk management plan, team members can start thinking about planning for the next three components: budgeting, timing, and tracking.
Budgeting involves setting the amount of money that will be invested in the risk management plan for the project.

Timing refers to how often the risk management process is performed. The process should be performed often enough so that the results will impact on decisions, and decisions should be reviewed periodically to allow for improvement.

The tracking process considers the current project, future needs, and lessons learned when documenting how risk activities will be tracked. It also takes into account when and how risk management processes will be audited.

Now that you know the basic structure of the risk management plan, it's time to focus on who is in charge and how reporting will take place within the process. The last two components are roles and responsibilities and reporting formats.

Roles and responsibilities should be established for every action in the risk management plan. It is necessary to define who leads, who supports, and who belongs to the team. Independent risk management teams are made up of people who are not biased.

Reporting formats refer to the reporting relationships and structures that exist within the risk management process. The reporting formats define the risk management response plan and indicate how results will be documented, analyzed, and communicated to stakeholders.

Bennett Publishing is getting its risk management plan ready for its new distance learning courses. They are assigning roles and responsibilities and determining reporting formats for the process.

Peter Croft has been chosen to lead the risk management team. He will conduct a brainstorming meeting with team members Jill, Richard, and Seela on Thursday.

It has been decided that the results of the risk management process will be reported to all concerned parties via an intranet site. The site will be updated regularly.

A risk management plan helps to guide your project decisions. It indicates how risk identification, analysis, planning, monitoring, and control will be handled throughout the project's life cycle. Risk management plan components such as methodology, scoring and interpretation, thresholds, budgeting, timing, tracking, roles and responsibilities, and reporting formats give substance and structure to the plan so it can be carried out effectively. Once you have a risk management plan in place, your project should sail smoothly.